Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.