MX23RW : Friday, October 4 11:33:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Moreirense

Casa Pia
3 - 1
Moreirense

Tchamba (58'), Blanco Juncal (70'), Moreira (81')
Geraldes (76'), Kraev (77'), Blanco Juncal (77'), Sequeira (90+5'), Kluivert (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Madson (35')
Ramos (51'), Frimpong (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, August 31 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Benfica
Friday, August 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-2 Moreirense

Despite Casa Pia's marginal success over struggling Estrela before the international break, Moreirense are backed to return to winning ways this weekend, keen to bounce back from dropping points to superior opposition before the pause and exploit Casapianos' soft underbelly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawMoreirense
38.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 28.92% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 32.91% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.85% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.25% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)61.75% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.45% (-0.032 -0.03)81.55% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (-0.012 -0.01)31.28% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)67.63% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)34.74% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)71.46% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 38.16%
    Moreirense 32.9%
    Draw 28.92%
Casa PiaDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 38.16%
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 10.86% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.92%
0-1 @ 11.48%
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 32.9%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Moreirense

Casa Pia
25.0%
Draw
18.8%
Moreirense
56.3%
16
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 33
Casa Pia
0-1
Moreirense

Mukendi (29'), Roberto (60')
Franco (33')
Nlavo (61'), Camacho (62')
Jan 8, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 16
Moreirense
1-4
Casa Pia
Aias (14')
Camacho (40'), Antonisse (90+5')
Soma (18'), Cardoso (26', 56'), Nunes (39')
Cardoso (35'), Segovia (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
OT
Buccaneers
30-36
Falcons
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto76011631318
3Benfica75111751216
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara7502118315
5Braga7421124814
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741276113
7FamalicaoFamalicao733183512
8MoreirenseMoreirense7223911-28
9Casa Pia722369-38
10AVS7223610-48
11Gil Vicente7142712-57
12Rio AveRio Ave7214512-77
13Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
14AroucaArouca7205312-96
15Estrela Amadora7124510-55
16BoavistaBoavista712438-55
17Nacional7124412-85
18SC FarenseFarense7016213-111


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