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Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
PEC Zwolle

FC Twente
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Steijn (63')
Steijn (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vente (8')
Jansen (0'), El Azzouzi (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, September 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 3-0 Heracles
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 3-1 PEC Zwolle

Twente have begun the season well below the level they showed last term, but the international break would have done wonders for them, as it would have allowed time for the side to get over their Champions League disappointment and refocus on getting back toward the top of the table. Zwolle picked up their first win of the season ahead of the break but we feel they will struggle to contain The Tukkers on their home patch in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 84.8%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 5.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 4-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
FC TwenteDrawPEC Zwolle
84.8% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 10.18% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03) 5.01% (-0.0199 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.86% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.9% (0.081999999999994 0.08)27.1% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.38% (0.104 0.1)47.61% (-0.107 -0.11)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.55% (0.019000000000005 0.02)4.45% (-0.0231 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.7% (0.069999999999993 0.07)18.29% (-0.073 -0.07)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)50.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.69% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)85.31% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 84.79%
    PEC Zwolle 5.01%
    Draw 10.18%
FC TwenteDrawPEC Zwolle
3-0 @ 11.39%
2-0 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 8.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.05% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.98% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 5.52% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.72% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 2.86% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
6-1 @ 1.93% (0.01 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.27% (0.008 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 84.79%
1-1 @ 4.76% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 2.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 10.18%
1-2 @ 1.6% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 5.01%

How you voted: FC Twente vs PEC Zwolle

FC Twente
85.7%
Draw
9.5%
PEC Zwolle
4.8%
21
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
PEC Zwolle
1-2
FC Twente
Rots (59'), Van Wolfswinkel (80' pen.)
Hilgers (45+6')
Aug 20, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 2
FC Twente
3-1
PEC Zwolle
Sadilek (18'), Steijn (76'), Schendelaar (90+4' og.)
Unnerstall (31'), Hilgers (52')
Druijf (33' pen.)
van Hintum (26'), Reijnders (35'), Lam (42'), van Polen (53'), Kersten (90+7')
Mar 19, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 24
FC Twente
1-0
PEC Zwolle
Rots (19')

van den Belt (46'), Paal (53')
Dec 18, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
PEC Zwolle
1-3
FC Twente
Lagsir (89')
Limnios (15'), Ugalde (39'), Misidjan (52')
Apr 10, 2021 8pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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