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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 65.08%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 1-3 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
16.95% ( -0.52) | 17.97% ( -0.2) | 65.08% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 63.91% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.83% ( -0.01) | 29.17% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.81% ( -0.01) | 50.18% ( 0.01) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.86% ( -0.54) | 30.14% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.71% ( -0.65) | 66.28% ( 0.65) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.49% ( 0.15) | 8.51% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.52% ( 0.37) | 29.48% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.43% Total : 16.95% | 1-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.38% Total : 17.97% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 7.67% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 6.39% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 4.72% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 2.83% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.94% ( 0.07) 2-5 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.73% Total : 65.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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