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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Sporting Lisbon

Rio Ave
0 - 3
Sporting Lisbon


Aguilera (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aderlan (3' og.), Hjulmand (23' pen.), Gyokeres (88')
Araujo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 12 at 4.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Rio Ave 0-3 Sporting Lisbon

Still licking their wounds from their Taca da Liga heartbreak, Sporting Lisbon will be looking to clean the dust off their feet this weekend and open up a four-point lead at the top of the table. While we expect Rio Ave to put up a fight in front of their home supporters, Borges' side boasts the firepower needed to get the job done and we are tipping them to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 12.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Rio AveDrawSporting Lisbon
12.78% (0.475 0.48) 18.07% (0.186 0.19) 69.14% (-0.666 -0.67)
Both teams to score 52.01% (0.83600000000001 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79% (0.34 0.34)39.2% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.46% (0.356 0.36)61.53% (-0.361 -0.36)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.96% (0.978 0.98)42.04% (-0.983 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.53% (0.836 0.84)78.47% (-0.84 -0.84)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.73% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)10.27% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.35% (-0.166 -0.17)33.64% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 12.78%
    Sporting Lisbon 69.14%
    Draw 18.07%
Rio AveDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 3.74% (0.04 0.04)
2-1 @ 3.69% (0.126 0.13)
2-0 @ 1.62% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.07% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 12.78%
1-1 @ 8.52% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.131 0.13)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.07%
0-2 @ 11.18% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-1 @ 9.83% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.69% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 8.48% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-3 @ 7.35% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 4.83% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-4 @ 4.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.09 0.09)
0-5 @ 2.2% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.81% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 69.14%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon

Rio Ave
5.6%
Draw
5.6%
Sporting Lisbon
88.9%
18
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 1
Sporting Lisbon
3-1
Rio Ave
Goncalves (6', 26'), Gyokeres (63')
Goncalves (51'), Catamo (70')
Clayton (90')
Aderlan (35'), Clayton (48')
Feb 25, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Rio Ave
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Embalo (3'), Yakubu (45+4' pen., 67' pen.)
Embalo (6'), Graca (60'), Pantalon (80'), Gomes (83'), Costinha (90+4')
Pantalon (90+1')
Hjulmand (9'), Gyokeres (44'), Coates (73')
St Juste (6'), Catamo (63'), Diomande (75')
Sep 25, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Rio Ave
Paulinho (10'), Edwards (26')
Coates (48')

Aderlan (19'), Acevedo (47'), Ronaldo (57'), Ukra (73'), Santos Ventura (90+3')
Feb 6, 2023 9.15pm
Dec 7, 2022 8.30pm
Group Stage
Rio Ave
0-2
Sporting Lisbon
Inacio (62'), Boateng (73' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto18131441142740
4Braga18104431191234
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Casa Pia187652222027
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
8MoreirenseMoreirense186572225-323
9Gil Vicente185762227-522
10Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
11FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
12Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
13Nacional185491624-819
14Estrela Amadora1844101630-1416
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16SC FarenseFarense183691123-1215
17AVS182971427-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1826101329-1612


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