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Adelaide United
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Sydney FC
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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Jan 24, 2025 at 8.35am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Sydney FC

Victory
vs.
Sydney FC

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-2 Victory
Saturday, January 18 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-4 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, January 18 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Melbourne Victory has a probability of 36% and a draw has a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.01%) and 0-2 (5.25%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.74%).

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawSydney FC
36% (0.103 0.1) 22.7% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03) 41.29% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 66.3% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.47% (0.187 0.19)34.52% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.54% (0.21 0.21)56.46% (-0.212 -0.21)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26% (0.133 0.13)19.74% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.23% (0.218 0.22)51.77% (-0.219 -0.22)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (0.046999999999997 0.05)17.39% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19% (0.082999999999998 0.08)47.81% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 36%
    Sydney FC 41.29%
    Draw 22.7%
Melbourne VictoryDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 5.57% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 36%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.43% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 4.03% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.95% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 41.29%

Who will win Friday's Australian A-League clash between Victory and Sydney FC?

Melbourne Victory
Draw
Sydney FC
Melbourne Victory
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Sydney FC
100%
1
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2024 8.35am
Gameweek 10
Sydney FC
3-0
Victory
Lolley (2', 26'), Kucharski (86')
Segecic (68')

Geria (51'), Reec (67'), Fornaroli (70'), Hamill (79')
Machach (16')
Jan 26, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 14
Victory
1-1
Sydney FC
Machach (17')
Marchan (90+1'), Miranda (90+1')
Courtney-Perkins (10')
Brattan (69')
Wood (36')
Dec 16, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 8
Victory
3-0
Sydney FC
Arzani (20'), Machach (24'), Fornaroli (57')
Traore (48'), Brimmer (56'), Folami (66'), Fornaroli (89')

King (44'), Grant (71')
Oct 21, 2023 9.45am
Gameweek 1
Sydney FC
0-2
Victory

Brattan (35'), Grant (78')
Fornaroli (62'), Machach (86')
Machach (48'), Marchan (76'), Ikonomidis (90+3')
Mar 4, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 19
Sydney FC
1-0
Victory
Caceres (35')
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