Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 77.34%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 3-0 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
77.34% ( -0.72) | 12.86% ( 0.45) | 9.8% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 63.44% ( -1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.08% ( -1.53) | 20.92% ( 1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.6% ( -2.17) | 39.4% ( 2.17) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.57% ( -0.39) | 4.43% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.77% ( -1.26) | 18.23% ( 1.26) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.38% ( -0.85) | 33.62% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.73% ( -0.94) | 70.27% ( 0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
3-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.42) 4-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.16) 5-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.17) 6-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.18) 6-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.11) 4-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.09) 6-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.12) 7-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.11) Other @ 4.61% Total : 77.34% | 1-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.4% Total : 12.86% | 1-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.86% Total : 9.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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