Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
58.15% ( 0.17) | 21.21% ( -0.1) | 20.64% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 58.76% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.11% ( 0.35) | 38.89% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.79% ( 0.36) | 61.2% ( -0.36) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.85% ( 0.16) | 13.15% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.16% ( 0.33) | 39.84% ( -0.33) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.66% ( 0.13) | 32.34% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.15% ( 0.14) | 68.85% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.63% Total : 58.15% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 20.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Macarthur | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 27 | -22 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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