Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
47.96% ( 0.42) | 24.92% ( 0.21) | 27.11% ( -0.63) |
Both teams to score 53.97% ( -1.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.21% ( -1.31) | 48.79% ( 1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.1% ( -1.2) | 70.89% ( 1.2) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.62% ( -0.35) | 20.38% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.21% ( -0.56) | 52.79% ( 0.56) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.78% ( -1.17) | 32.22% ( 1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.29% ( -1.35) | 68.71% ( 1.35) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.73% Total : 47.96% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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