Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
32.29% ( -0.05) | 24.64% ( 0.07) | 43.06% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.99% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.08% ( -0.31) | 44.92% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.73% ( -0.3) | 67.27% ( 0.3) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.35% ( -0.18) | 26.65% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.11% ( -0.24) | 61.89% ( 0.24) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.06% ( -0.14) | 20.94% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.33% ( -0.21) | 53.67% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.29% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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