Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.13% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sydney FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sydney FC.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
57.86% ( 0.24) | 21.02% ( -0.13) | 21.13% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 60.27% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.73% ( 0.47) | 37.27% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.53% ( 0.51) | 59.48% ( -0.5) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.28% ( 0.22) | 12.72% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.06% ( 0.46) | 38.94% ( -0.46) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% ( 0.17) | 30.95% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.75% ( 0.2) | 67.25% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.95% Total : 57.86% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 21.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 21 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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