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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 21
Jan 24, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
2 - 1
Gaziantep

Mouandilmadji (45'), Aydogdu (83')
Holse (58'), Kara (90+5'), Dimata (90+1'), Burak Bozan (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kodro (46')
Okereke (45+6'), Okereke (55'), Mandouki (62'), Kilinc (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Gaziantep, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Besiktas 0-0 Samsunspor
Saturday, January 18 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-0 Bodrumspor
Saturday, January 18 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Samsunspor 3-1 Gaziantep

Samsunspor are currently on a seven-match unbeaten streak at home in the Super Lig, making them overwhelming favourites against a Gaziantep team with a dismal away record, which is why we expect a dominant performance from the hosts on Friday, and have predicted a comfortable win for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawGaziantep
62.18% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 21.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 16.33% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)46.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (0.012999999999998 0.01)69.19% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (0.013999999999996 0.01)14.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.44% (0.026000000000003 0.03)42.56% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.15% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)41.85% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)78.3% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 62.17%
    Gaziantep 16.33%
    Draw 21.47%
SamsunsporDrawGaziantep
1-0 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 7.27% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 62.17%
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.47%
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 16.33%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Gaziantep

Samsunspor
81.8%
Draw
15.2%
Gaziantep
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Gaziantep
0-1
Samsunspor

Ersoy (29'), Inan (30'), Kozlowski (41'), Saborit (90+5')
Holse (5')
Ait Bennasser (77'), Yuksel (83'), Dimata (90+5')
Feb 18, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 26
Gaziantep
1-1
Samsunspor
Ozcicek (83')
Ozcicek (70'), Badji (72'), Soyalp (90+4')
Djilobodji (90+8')
Satka (90+2')
Mouandilmadji (45+3'), Tait (90+4'), Ozturk (90+8')
Sep 29, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Samsunspor
1-2
Gaziantep
Ntcham (90+3' pen.)
Fofana (38'), Gonul (56')
Dragus (3'), Jevtovic (17')
Dragus (34'), Soyalp (58'), Nita (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray30245173294477
2Fenerbahce31236280314975
3Samsunspor32166104738954
4BesiktasBesiktas311410748321652
5EyupsporEyupspor31148948331550
6Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul301461049391048
7TrabzonsporTrabzonspor301191048361242
8KasimpasaKasimpasa31101295355-242
9GaziantepGaziantep31126134143-242
10Goztepe SKGoztepe SK301010104738940
11KonyasporKonyaspor31117133843-540
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor31117133455-2140
13KayserisporKayserispor30910113849-1137
14Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor30114153649-1337
15SivassporSivasspor3297164353-1034
16AlanyasporAlanyaspor3097143343-1034
17Bodrumspor3297162437-1334
18Hatayspor3147203362-2919
19Adana Demirspor3024242674-48-2


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