MX23RW : Friday, January 24 03:40:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Swindon Town

Newport
vs.
Swindon

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Newport
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-0 Barrow
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Newport County 1-2 Swindon Town

Newport will be desperate to stop the rot this week and put points on the board for the first time in 2025, and they could deliver a spirited performance. However, Swindon are in much better form, and even though the Robins might concede due to their own defensive weakness, the Exiles may be unable to avoid yet another defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 34.83% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Newport County win is 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.24%).

Result
Newport CountyDrawSwindon Town
34.83% (0.684 0.68) 24.33% (-0.087 -0.09) 40.84% (-0.599 -0.6)
Both teams to score 59.92% (0.483 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25% (0.557 0.56)42.74% (-0.56 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85% (0.553 0.55)65.15% (-0.55499999999999 -0.55)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (0.651 0.65)24.11% (-0.652 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (0.914 0.91)58.41% (-0.917 -0.92)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)21.04% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)53.84% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 34.83%
    Swindon Town 40.84%
    Draw 24.32%
Newport CountyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8% (0.094 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.13% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.115 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.83%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-2 @ 6.16% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-3 @ 4.56% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.2% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 40.84%

Who will win Friday's League Two clash between Newport and Swindon?

Newport County
Draw
Swindon Town
Newport County
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Swindon Town
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
Swindon
4-0
Newport
Tshimanga (4'), Glatzel (18'), Baker (21' og.), Cotterill (45')
Kilkenny (56')
Feb 3, 2024 12.45pm
Gameweek 31
Newport
2-1
Swindon
Evans (53'), Palmer-Houlden (74')
McLoughlin (3'), Bennett (39')
Glatzel (46')
Kokolo (51'), Devoy (72'), Bycroft (75'), Khan (77')
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Swindon
2-0
Newport
Kemp (8'), Hepburn-Murphy (82')
Brewitt (36')
Feb 4, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 30
Newport
2-1
Swindon
Norman (54'), Kavanagh (78')
Adeloye (90+1')
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2661372928131
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17Harrogate TownHarrogate2785142337-1429
18BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
19Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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