EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
County Ground
Swindon1 - 2Birmingham
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Third Round clash between Swindon Town and Birmingham City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
31
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 11 at 12pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 11 at 12pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
41
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
23.33% ( -0.16) | 23.83% ( -0.01) | 52.84% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.7% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
