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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Burton Albion

Birmingham
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Stansfield (26' pen.), Crocombe (56' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Godwin-Malife (45+1'), Crocombe (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Birmingham
Monday, December 23 at 8.15pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 3-0 Burton Albion

With a sold-out St Andrew's crowd expecting a routine win, Birmingham should be more than capable of breezing past the attentions of Burton. The Brewers are likely to enjoy just a slither of the ball in the Second City and could be overwhelmed by the occasion as they battle the title favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 73.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 10.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBurton Albion
73.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 16.43% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 10.29% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.35% (0.577 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.69% (0.563 0.56)38.31% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.4% (0.596 0.6)60.59% (-0.598 -0.6)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.95% (0.13200000000001 0.13)9.05% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.21% (0.31999999999999 0.32)30.79% (-0.322 -0.32)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.26% (0.554 0.55)45.74% (-0.555 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.48% (0.429 0.43)81.52% (-0.431 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 73.27%
    Burton Albion 10.29%
    Draw 16.43%
Birmingham CityDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 11.94% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-0 @ 9.57% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
4-0 @ 5.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.49% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.066 0.07)
5-0 @ 2.76% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.16% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.05 0.05)
6-0 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 73.27%
1-1 @ 7.78% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.14% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 16.43%
0-1 @ 3.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.04% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 10.29%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Burton Albion

Birmingham City
87.1%
Draw
6.5%
Burton Albion
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2022 2pm
Club Friendlies
Burton Albion
1-2
Birmingham
Hamer (74')
Hall (37'), Cosgrove (87')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Third Round
Birmingham
1-0
Burton Albion
Gallagher (56')
Kieftenbeld (37'), Grounds (67'), Davis (90')

Brayford (65'), Turner (75'), Sordell (83')
Aug 18, 2017 7.45pm
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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