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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
PSG logo

Brest
vs.
PSG

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-4 PSG
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We say: Brest 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain

 After an exhausting week for PSG, the level may drop slightly once again in this domestic fixture, as it did against Reims last week, and this plucky Brest side are capable of causing them problems. While PSG are still unbeaten this season, four of the five occasions where they have dropped points have come immediately after a Champions League fixture, while Brest have taken 18 points from a possible 21 in their games straight after a European game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw has a probability of 19.6% and a win for Brest has a probability of 15.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 0-2 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Brest win it is 2-1 (4.31%).

Result
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
15.31% (-2.612 -2.61) 19.6% (-1.658 -1.66) 65.09% (4.265 4.27)
Both teams to score 53.63% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.47% (2.703 2.7)40.53% (-2.709 -2.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.08% (2.721 2.72)62.91% (-2.727 -2.73)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.74% (-1.556 -1.56)39.26% (1.551 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.03% (-1.484 -1.48)75.96% (1.478 1.48)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.3% (2.05 2.05)11.7% (-2.055 -2.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.2% (4.237 4.24)36.79% (-4.242 -4.24)
Score Analysis
    Brest 15.31%
    Paris Saint-Germain 65.09%
    Draw 19.6%
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 4.31% (-0.586 -0.59)
1-0 @ 4.29% (-0.764 -0.76)
2-0 @ 2.01% (-0.459 -0.46)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.249 -0.25)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 15.31%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.817 -0.82)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.594 -0.59)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.6%
0-2 @ 10.57% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.427 -0.43)
0-3 @ 7.56% (0.813 0.81)
1-3 @ 7.07% (0.488 0.49)
0-4 @ 4.06% (0.709 0.71)
1-4 @ 3.79% (0.528 0.53)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.096 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.181 0.18)
0-5 @ 1.74% (0.413 0.41)
1-5 @ 1.63% (0.332 0.33)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 65.09%

Who will win Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and PSG?

Brest
Draw
Paris Saint-Germain
Brest
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Paris Saint-Germain
100%
2
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 4
PSG
3-1
Brest
Dembele (42', 74'), Ruiz (73')
Beraldo (26'), Mendes (28')
Del Castillo (29' pen.)
Camara (39'), Ajorque (49'), Chardonnet (59')
> Preview
Feb 7, 2024 8.10pm
Round of 16
PSG
3-1
Brest
Mbappe (34'), Pereira (37'), Ramos (90+2')
Mounie (65')
Magnetti (14'), Brassier (60')
Brassier (69')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
PSG
2-2
Brest
Asensio (38'), Kolo (45')
Hernandez (26'), Mbappe (53'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Barcola (90+2')
Barcola (90+4')
Camara (55'), Pereira Lage (80')
Lees-Melou (32'), Lala (53'), Brassier (59')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
2-3
PSG
Mounie (43'), Le Douaron (52')
Roy (0'), Brassier (86'), Martin (87'), Bizot (88')
Zaire-Emery (16'), Mbappe (28', 89')
Hakimi (87'), Ruiz (88'), Mbappe (89'), Kolo (90+4')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Brest
1-2
PSG
Honorat (43')
Soler (37'), Mbappe (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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