MX23RW : Friday, July 19 04:54:54| >> :600:3948486:3948486:
PSG logo
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 7, 2024 at 8.10pm UK
Parc des Princes
Brest logo

PSG
3 - 1
Brest

Mbappe (34'), Pereira (37'), Ramos (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mounie (65')
Magnetti (14'), Brassier (60')
Brassier (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 0-0 Nice
Sunday, February 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Brest

Brest's performance against PSG in the league last month will give them tremendous confidence coming into this match, but it is difficult to back against the Parisians, especially on their home patch. We are expecting another solid performance by the visitors but fancy the 14-time winners of this competition to progress to the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Brest had a probability of 16.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
63.48% (0.402 0.4) 20.15% (0.111 0.11) 16.37% (-0.509 -0.51)
Both teams to score 54.23% (-1.532 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.03% (-1.469 -1.47)40.97% (1.473 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.63% (-1.514 -1.51)63.37% (1.518 1.52)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.73% (-0.331 -0.33)12.27% (0.333 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.98% (-0.7 -0.7)38.02% (0.703 0.7)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82% (-1.507 -1.51)38.18% (1.511 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (-1.483 -1.48)74.95% (1.486 1.49)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 63.48%
    Brest 16.37%
    Draw 20.15%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
2-0 @ 10.31% (0.421 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.524 0.52)
3-0 @ 7.21% (0.205 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.94% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.78% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.64% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 63.48%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.308 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.15%
1-2 @ 4.56% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.17% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 16.37%

How you voted: PSG vs Brest

Paris Saint-Germain
88.5%
Draw
5.8%
Brest
5.8%
104
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
PSG
2-2
Brest
Asensio (38'), Kolo (45')
Hernandez (26'), Mbappe (53'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Barcola (90+2')
Barcola (90+4')
Camara (55'), Pereira Lage (80')
Lees-Melou (32'), Lala (53'), Brassier (59')
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
2-3
PSG
Mounie (43'), Le Douaron (52')
Roy (0'), Brassier (86'), Martin (87'), Bizot (88')
Zaire-Emery (16'), Mbappe (28', 89')
Hakimi (87'), Ruiz (88'), Mbappe (89'), Kolo (90+4')
Mar 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Brest
1-2
PSG
Honorat (43')
Soler (37'), Mbappe (90')
Sep 10, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 7
PSG
1-0
Brest
Neymar (30')
Jan 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 21
PSG
2-0
Brest
Mbappe (32'), Kehrer (53')
Herrera (24'), Mbappe (34'), Kimpembe (55'), Verratti (58'), Pereira (65')

Magnetti (34'), Agoume (45+1'), Chardonnet (61')
rhs 2.0
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