Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 25.97% and a draw has a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.29%).
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Arouca |
25.97% ( 0.12) | 23.96% ( 0.02) | 50.06% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.46% ( 0.03) | 45.54% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.13% ( 0.03) | 67.87% ( -0.03) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.6% ( 0.11) | 31.4% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.23% ( 0.12) | 67.77% ( -0.12) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.75% ( -0.04) | 18.25% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.71% ( -0.06) | 49.29% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 25.97% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 50.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 35 |
6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 29 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |