MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 00:35:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Arouca

Nacional
1 - 2
Arouca

Ulisses (45+1')
Vitor (24'), Penha (37'), Ulisses (52'), Esteves (71'), Abidi (87'), Sousa (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gozalbez (5'), Araujo (26' pen.)
Santos (90+8')
Popovic (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Nacional
Saturday, January 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Moreirense
Friday, January 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Nacional 1-1 Arouca

After stumbling into the campaign, Arouca have turned things around of late and will be looking to keep the ball rolling this weekend. However, Nacional have proven tough to crack on home turf and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 25.97% and a draw has a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.29%).

Result
NacionalDrawArouca
25.97% (0.116 0.12) 23.96% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 50.06% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 56.08% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)45.54% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.13% (0.027999999999999 0.03)67.87% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (0.10599999999999 0.11)31.4% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23% (0.121 0.12)67.77% (-0.12 -0.12)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)18.25% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.71% (-0.064 -0.06)49.29% (0.067 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 25.97%
    Arouca 50.06%
    Draw 23.96%
NacionalDrawArouca
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.54% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.85% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 25.97%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 9.75% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.29% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.7% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 50.06%

Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 3
Arouca
1-0
Nacional
Araujo (27')
Rodrigues (74'), Mantl (90+7')

Garcia (22'), Butzke (49'), Esteves (73'), Reis (76'), Vitor (90+3'), Dias (90+6'), Margarido (90+2')
Jan 28, 2017 4pm
Nacional
1-1
Arouca
Agra (96' pen.)
Washington (48')
Miguel Prata Coelho (84')
Mateus (25'), Goiano (53'), Intima (55'), Sacramento (80'), Jubal (89')
Sacramento (93')
Aug 21, 2016 6pm
Arouca
2-0
Nacional
Crivellaro (24'), Zequinha (30')
Coelho (42')
May 1, 2016 6.15pm
Arouca
3-0
Nacional
Gonzalez (14', 64'), Mateus (38' pen.)
Coelho (11'), Adilson (31')

Washington (37'), Belkaroui (39'), Soares (49')
Belkaroui (40')
Jan 2, 2016 4pm
Nacional
2-2
Arouca
Agra (19' pen.), Gustavo (95')
Agra (44'), Correia (47')
Zequinha (14'), Simao (44')
Velasquez (18'), Rodrigues (35'), Simao (54'), Bracali (71'), Roque Junior (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2011272321235
6Casa Pia208662625130
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes207853025529
8Estoril PraiaEstoril207672431-727
9FamalicaoFamalicao205962224-224
10MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
11Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
12Gil Vicente205782330-722
13AroucaArouca2064101831-1322
14Nacional2054111728-1119
15AVS203981529-1418
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista2026121334-2112


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