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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 54.25%. A win for Feyenoord has a probability of 23.94% and a draw has a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Feyenoord win is 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.84%).
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
54.25% ( -9.09) | 21.81% ( 2.88) | 23.94% ( 6.21) |
Both teams to score 61.34% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.4% ( -5.02) | 37.6% ( 5.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.17% ( -5.6) | 59.83% ( 5.6) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.08% ( -4.07) | 13.92% ( 4.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.64% ( -8.68) | 41.36% ( 8.69) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.25% ( 2.73) | 28.75% ( -2.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.42% ( 3.28) | 64.58% ( -3.28) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.7) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.55) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -1.06) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( -1.32) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -1.17) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( -1.21) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.53) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.76) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.73) Other @ 3.56% Total : 54.25% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 1.53) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.48) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.9) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 1.33) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 1.4) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 1.04) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.7) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.49) Other @ 3.36% Total : 23.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |