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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
35.01% ( -0.28) | 24.37% ( 0.08) | 40.63% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 59.81% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.1% ( -0.43) | 42.9% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.7% ( -0.43) | 65.3% ( 0.43) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.91% ( -0.36) | 24.09% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.62% ( -0.51) | 58.38% ( 0.51) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.79% ( -0.09) | 21.21% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.9% ( -0.14) | 54.1% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
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