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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | Heerenveen |
33.22% ( 0.01) | 24.99% ( 0.04) | 41.79% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 57.12% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.79% ( -0.19) | 46.21% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.5% ( -0.18) | 68.5% ( 0.17) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.3% ( -0.09) | 26.7% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.04% ( -0.11) | 61.96% ( 0.11) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.92% ( -0.11) | 22.08% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.57% ( -0.16) | 55.43% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
NAC Breda | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.22% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |