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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 65.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | Heerenveen |
15.21% ( -0.02) | 19.68% ( -0.04) | 65.11% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.1% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.89% ( 0.13) | 41.11% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.5% ( 0.13) | 63.5% ( -0.13) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.25% ( 0.05) | 39.75% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.58% ( 0.04) | 76.42% ( -0.05) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.14% ( 0.05) | 11.86% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.85% ( 0.12) | 37.15% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.28% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.21% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.68% | 0-2 @ 10.71% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.73% Total : 65.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |