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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Sunderland has a probability of 30.79% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Sunderland win is 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.72%).
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Sunderland |
42.41% ( 0.97) | 26.8% ( -0.18) | 30.79% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.45% ( 0.46) | 54.55% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.1% ( 0.38) | 75.9% ( -0.38) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.55% ( 0.71) | 25.44% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.73% ( 0.97) | 60.27% ( -0.97) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.52% ( -0.32) | 32.48% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.99% ( -0.37) | 69.01% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.41% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 45 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 44 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Bristol City | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 41 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 25 |
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