Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2025 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough2 - 3Sunderland
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
47
Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Plymouth
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
42
We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland
Local derbies are often tight affairs, and with both of these teams dreaming of the Premier League, we think they will share the spoils here. Sunderland have performed well on their travels this year, but that away form has fallen off a little in more recent times; so a draw against another promotion contender is a strong possibility on Monday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Sunderland |
42.99% ( 0.92) | 26.62% ( -0.27) | 30.39% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 50.7% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.99% ( 0.8) | 54.01% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.55% ( 0.67) | 75.45% ( -0.67) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.1% ( 0.84) | 24.9% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.47% ( 1.15) | 59.52% ( -1.15) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( -0.06) | 32.49% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.98% ( -0.06) | 69.02% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough 42.98%
Sunderland 30.39%
Draw 26.62%
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.98% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.39% |
How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sunderland
Middlesbrough
47.5%Draw
30.0%Sunderland
22.5%120
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
Sunderland
1-0
Middlesbrough
Jan 22, 2023 12pm
Sep 5, 2022 8pm
Form Guide
