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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2025 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Sunderland

Middlesbrough
2 - 3
Sunderland

Burgzorg (11'), Hackney (59')
Morris (20'), Burgzorg (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Neill (33'), Isidor (51'), Giles (87' og.)
O'Nien (45'), Bellingham (63'), Poveda (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Plymouth
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland

Local derbies are often tight affairs, and with both of these teams dreaming of the Premier League, we think they will share the spoils here. Sunderland have performed well on their travels this year, but that away form has fallen off a little in more recent times; so a draw against another promotion contender is a strong possibility on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
42.99% (0.921 0.92) 26.62% (-0.267 -0.27) 30.39% (-0.657 -0.66)
Both teams to score 50.7% (0.523 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.99% (0.80399999999999 0.8)54.01% (-0.806 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.55% (0.67 0.67)75.45% (-0.672 -0.67)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (0.836 0.84)24.9% (-0.838 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (1.148 1.15)59.52% (-1.151 -1.15)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)32.49% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (-0.061 -0.06)69.02% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 42.98%
    Sunderland 30.39%
    Draw 26.62%
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.133 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.157 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.086 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.087 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.98%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 8.09% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.304 -0.3)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.39%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sunderland

Middlesbrough
Draw
Sunderland
Middlesbrough
47.5%
Draw
30.0%
Sunderland
22.5%
120
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
Sunderland
1-0
Middlesbrough
Rigg (24')
Hume (9'), Roberts (45+1'), Rigg (70')

Latte Lath (20'), Doak (87')
Feb 4, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 30
Middlesbrough
1-1
Sunderland
Forss (61')
Engel (34'), Greenwood (75'), Ayling (79')
Rusyn (83')
Hume (14'), Ba (34'), Ekwah (90+2')
Oct 7, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Sunderland
0-4
Middlesbrough

Neill (17'), Ballard (45+5'), Roberts (70'), Clarke (74')
Neill (45+3')
Greenwood (58'), Crooks (60'), Jones (72'), Forss (90')
Jones (32'), Coburn (45+5')
Jan 22, 2023 12pm
Sep 5, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds372310474235179
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd37247652282477
3Burnley372015250113975
4Sunderland371912655342169
5Bristol City38141594941857
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom371317747331456
7Coventry CityCoventry37168135248456
8Middlesbrough37158145748953
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn37157154138352
10Watford37157154750-352
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37149145358-551
12Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
13Millwall371212133639-348
14Queens Park RangersQPR371111154248-644
15Preston North EndPreston37917113743-644
16Swansea CitySwansea37128173847-944
17Portsmouth37119174559-1442
18Hull City371010173846-840
19Stoke CityStoke37912163750-1339
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd37912163855-1739
21Cardiff CityCardiff37812174061-2136
22Derby CountyDerby3798203749-1235
23Luton TownLuton3797213460-2634
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth37712183874-3633


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