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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Middlesbrough logo

Sunderland
0 - 4
Middlesbrough


Neill (17'), Ballard (45+5'), Roberts (70'), Clarke (74')
Neill (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Greenwood (58'), Crooks (60'), Jones (72'), Forss (90')
Jones (32'), Coburn (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-2 Middlesbrough

Despite their contrasting fortunes throughout this season, this match looks evenly-poised given how Boro have improved of late. We expect a thriller of a game, one which Sunderland may salvage a share of the spoils from during the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawMiddlesbrough
33.31% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 24.66% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 42.03% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 58.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (0.010999999999996 0.01)44.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (0.009999999999998 0.01)67.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)25.92% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)60.91% (0.07 0.07)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (0.052000000000007 0.05)21.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.73% (0.079000000000001 0.08)54.27% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 33.31%
    Middlesbrough 42.03%
    Draw 24.66%
SunderlandDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.31%
1-1 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.03%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Middlesbrough

Sunderland
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Middlesbrough
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 12pm
Sep 5, 2022 8pm
Jul 27, 2018 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Sunderland
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Asoro (11'), Williams (58'), McManaman (90')
Maja (45'), Honeyman (65'), McGeady (84'), Oviedo (90'), McManaman (90')
Clarke-Salter (24')
Bamford (50', 68'), Leadbitter (53' pen.)
Leadbitter (55')
Traore (37')
Jan 6, 2018 1pm
Third Round
Middlesbrough
2-0
Sunderland
Gestede (10'), Braithwaite (42')
Leadbitter (50'), Traore (55')

Honeyman (25'), Love (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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