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Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Jan 22, 2025 at 8.30am UK
Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
2 - 2
Auckland FC

Goodwin (81', 90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moreno (66'), Rogerson (90+10')
Mata (57'), Pijnaker (59'), Brimmer (81')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Auckland FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-2 Victory
Saturday, January 18 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Auckland FC

All competitions
Last Game: Auckland FC 3-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, January 18 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 57.09%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 22.9% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawAuckland FC
57.09% (0.37 0.37) 20% (-0.103 -0.1) 22.9% (-0.266 -0.27)
Both teams to score 66.8% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.06% (0.178 0.18)29.93% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.89% (0.215 0.22)51.11% (-0.217 -0.22)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.39% (0.15000000000001 0.15)10.6% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.6% (0.336 0.34)34.4% (-0.337 -0.34)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)25.27% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96% (-0.13699999999999 -0.14)60.03% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 57.09%
    Auckland FC 22.9%
    Draw 20%
Adelaide UnitedDrawAuckland FC
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 6.94% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.77% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.89% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.68% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.75% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.027 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.23% (0.008 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 57.09%
1-1 @ 8.27% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.68% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.19%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 20%
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.69% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 22.9%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Auckland FC

Adelaide United
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Auckland FC
8.3%
12
rhs 2.0
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