Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 57.09%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 22.9% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.