Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 70.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 12.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 3-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Auckland FC |
70.49% ( -1.99) | 16.9% ( 0.82) | 12.6% ( 1.17) |
Both teams to score 55.95% ( 0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.09% ( -0.82) | 33.9% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.24% ( -0.93) | 55.75% ( 0.93) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.43% ( -0.63) | 8.57% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.37% ( -1.57) | 29.62% ( 1.57) |
Auckland FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.19% ( 1.32) | 38.8% ( -1.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.46% ( 1.22) | 75.54% ( -1.23) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Auckland FC |
2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.41) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.42) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.29) 5-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.15) 6-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.09% Total : 70.49% | 1-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.9% | 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.73% Total : 12.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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