Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.96%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Auckland FC |
35.7% ( 0.72) | 22.63% ( 0.22) | 41.67% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 66.52% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.79% ( -0.97) | 34.21% ( 0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.9% ( -1.1) | 56.1% ( 1.1) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.25% ( -0.09) | 19.75% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.22% ( -0.15) | 51.78% ( 0.14) |
Auckland FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.89% ( -0.77) | 17.11% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.69% ( -1.37) | 47.31% ( 1.37) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Auckland FC |
2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.7% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.07) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.33% Total : 41.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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