Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 38.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.96%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
38.68% ( -0.09) | 22.9% ( -0.02) | 38.42% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 65.76% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.68% ( 0.1) | 35.31% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.66% ( 0.12) | 57.34% ( -0.12) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.15% ( 0.01) | 18.85% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.7% ( 0.01) | 50.3% ( -0.01) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.04% ( 0.09) | 18.96% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.51% ( 0.16) | 50.49% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 38.68% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 38.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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