Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
26.47% ( 0.57) | 22.77% ( 0.75) | 50.76% ( -1.33) |
Both teams to score 60.69% ( -2.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.34% ( -3.09) | 39.66% ( 3.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.99% ( -3.29) | 62.01% ( 3.28) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.08% ( -1.22) | 27.91% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.46% ( -1.58) | 63.53% ( 1.57) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.2% ( -1.56) | 15.8% ( 1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.04% ( -2.95) | 44.96% ( 2.94) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.6) 2-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.68% Total : 26.47% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.61) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.72) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.26) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.68% Total : 50.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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