Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%).
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
48.44% | 23.32% | 28.24% |
Both teams to score 60.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.11% | 40.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.72% | 63.27% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.9% | 17.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.7% | 47.3% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.7% | 27.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.27% | 62.73% |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.44% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-1 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |