Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Victory 0-0 Wellington
Sunday, May 12 at 7am in Australian A-League
Sunday, May 12 at 7am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
42
Last Game: Victory 0-0 Wellington
Sunday, May 12 at 7am in Australian A-League
Sunday, May 12 at 7am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
44
We say: Wellington Phoenix 1-2 Melbourne Victory (Melbourne Victory to win 2-1 on aggregate)
With these two teams having each finished in the top three of the standings, we do not expect much between them in this second leg. However, with Melbourne having had more game time of late, we feel that their extra sharpness could prove key in securing a place in the final. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%).
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
29.96% ( -0.22) | 23.71% ( -0.08) | 46.33% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 60.09% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.34% ( 0.24) | 41.65% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.94% ( 0.25) | 64.05% ( -0.25) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( -0.02) | 26.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.27% ( -0.02) | 61.73% ( 0.02) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( 0.21) | 18.22% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.76% ( 0.36) | 49.23% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix 29.96%
Melbourne Victory 46.33%
Draw 23.7%
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.96% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.61% Total : 46.33% |
How you voted: Wellington vs Victory
Wellington Phoenix
45.5%Draw
18.2%Melbourne Victory
36.4%11
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 7am
Apr 12, 2024 8am
Jan 19, 2024 6am
Nov 10, 2023 8.45am
Apr 1, 2023 3am
Form Guide
