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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 at 2pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Le Havre

Lyon
4 - 2
Le Havre

Lacazette (22' pen.), Fofana (78'), Mikautadze (82'), Almada (90+6')
Matic (37'), Nuamah (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Toure (31' pen.), Casimir (45+1')
Gorgelin (63'), Nego (66'), Toure (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 4-0 FCSB
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Le Havre 1-1 St Etienne
Sunday, March 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 4-0 Le Havre

Lyon are in fine form, and they netted four goals on Thursday against Steaua Bucharest in the Europa League. Le Havre have had a couple of decent results lately, but we think their defence will continue to ship goals against a prolific Lyon attack, so we are going for a repeat of the 4-0 scoreline from earlier this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 9.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawLe Havre
74.93% (0.34 0.34) 15.08% (-0.173 -0.17) 9.99% (-0.1691 -0.17)
Both teams to score 53.56% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.58% (0.34699999999999 0.35)32.42% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.94% (0.402 0.4)54.05% (-0.405 -0.41)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.72% (0.14699999999999 0.15)7.28% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.64% (0.39 0.39)26.36% (-0.394 -0.39)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.77% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)42.23% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.37% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)78.63% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 74.93%
    Le Havre 9.99%
    Draw 15.08%
LyonDrawLe Havre
2-0 @ 10.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 9.22% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.94% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.04% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 5.2% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 3.16% (0.063 0.06)
5-1 @ 2.73% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.24% (0.02 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.38% (0.038 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.19% (0.03 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.18% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 74.93%
1-1 @ 6.95% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.08% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.08%
1-2 @ 2.99% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 2.65% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 9.99%

How you voted: Lyon vs Le Havre

Lyon
Draw
Le Havre
Lyon
92.1%
Draw
7.9%
Le Havre
0.0%
38
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 8
Le Havre
0-4
Lyon

Nego (6'), Toure (18'), Casimir (36')
Vinicius (32'), Fofana (57'), Lacazette (71'), Benrahma (87')
Cherki (35'), Caqueret (36'), Tolisso (47'), Nuamah (78')
Jan 14, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 18
Le Havre
3-1
Lyon
Lloris (18'), Sabbi (50'), Operi (62')
Operi (87')
Lacazette (54')
O'Brien (30'), Caleta-Car (90')
Sep 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lyon
0-0
Le Havre
Lacazette (5'), Mata (41'), Kumbedi (79')
Bayo (38'), Casimir (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG26215073254868
2Marseille26154753332049
3MonacoMonaco26145751321947
4Nice26138550311947
5Lyon26136750331745
6Lille26128640281244
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2612774133843
8Lens2611693129239
9Brest26114113840-237
10Toulouse2697103329434
11Auxerre2688103739-232
12Rennes2692153537-229
13NantesNantes2669112943-1427
14Angers2676132642-1627
15Reims2658132640-1423
16Le HavreLe Havre2663172655-2921
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815


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