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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lyon

Montpellier
1 - 4
Lyon

Coulibaly (38')
Coulibaly (29'), Delort (34'), Sainte-Luce (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mikautadze (3'), Nuamah (50'), Tolisso (53'), Lacazette (73')
Tagliafico (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, February 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 4-0 Reims
Sunday, February 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-3 Lyon

 After back-to-back defeats most recently, bottom side Montpellier will be dreading the arrival of top-four hopefuls Lyon on Sunday afternoon. Les Gones swept Reims aside with ease last weekend, and we feel that it could be a similar story for the Champions League chasers this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 0-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLyon
18.48% (-0.628 -0.63) 20.54% (-0.1 -0.1) 60.98% (0.73 0.73)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-0.84 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.96% (-0.554 -0.55)39.03% (0.555 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.64% (-0.582 -0.58)61.35% (0.584 0.58)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.4% (-0.985 -0.98)34.6% (0.987 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (-1.059 -1.06)71.31% (1.061 1.06)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.62% (0.036000000000001 0.04)12.38% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.76% (0.075000000000003 0.08)38.24% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 18.48%
    Lyon 60.98%
    Draw 20.54%
Montpellier HSCDrawLyon
2-1 @ 5.04% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.41% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 18.48%
1-1 @ 9.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.28% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.54%
1-2 @ 9.92% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.35% (0.266 0.27)
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.242 0.24)
1-3 @ 6.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.51% (0.193 0.19)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-4 @ 3.61% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.4% (0.105 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.92% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.51% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.42% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 60.98%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lyon

Montpellier HSC
12.0%
Draw
16.0%
Lyon
72.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 16
Lyon
1-0
Montpellier
Fayad (90+1' og.)
Veretout (64'), Veretout (66')

Sagnan (50'), Maksimovic (64')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 21
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Nordin (23')
Ferri (90')
Lacazette (74'), Caqueret (82')
Tagliafico (28'), Orban (90')
> Preview
Aug 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Lyon
1-4
Montpellier
Lacazette (69')
Diomande (13'), Lepenant (29'), Barcola (45+4'), Tagliafico (83')
Lacazette (80')
Nordin (20'), Al Tamari (39', 66'), Adams (89')
Kouyate (51')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 34
Lyon
5-4
Montpellier
Lacazette (31', 59', 82', 90+10' pen.), Lovren (70')
Wahi (40', 41', 53', 55')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 12
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Wahi (70')
Aouar (33'), Lacazette (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG26215073254868
2Marseille26154753332049
3MonacoMonaco26145751321947
4Nice26138550311947
5Lyon26136750331745
6Lille26128640281244
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2612774133843
8Lens2611693129239
9Brest26114113840-237
10Toulouse2697103329434
11Auxerre2688103739-232
12Rennes2692153537-229
13NantesNantes2669112943-1427
14Angers2676132642-1627
15Reims2658132640-1423
16Le HavreLe Havre2663172655-2921
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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