Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Paul Audrin
Rennes3 - 0Montpellier
We said: Rennes 2-1 Montpellier HSC
Refreshed following the international break, Rennes will be confident of earning their second win of the season against Montpellier on Sunday. La Paillade's injury crisis continues into the middle of September, and we cannot envisage a makeshift visiting side collecting any points at Roazhon Park. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
55.87% ( -0.55) | 22.69% ( 0.17) | 21.44% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 54.92% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% ( -0.28) | 44.54% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% ( -0.27) | 66.91% ( 0.27) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.22% ( -0.28) | 15.78% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.08% ( -0.52) | 44.92% ( 0.52) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( 0.21) | 34.79% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.48% ( 0.22) | 71.52% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Rennes 55.86%
Montpellier HSC 21.44%
Draw 22.69%
| Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.47% Total : 55.86% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.69% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.04% Total : 21.44% |
How you voted: Rennes vs Montpellier
Rennes
80.5%Draw
17.1%Montpellier HSC
2.4%41
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 20
Rennes
2-1
Montpellier
Terrier (3'), Kalimuendo (48' pen.)
Truffert (45+4'), Kalimuendo (53'), Yildirim (80'), Le Fee (86')
Truffert (45+4'), Kalimuendo (53'), Yildirim (80'), Le Fee (86')
Sep 24, 2023 4.05pm
Apr 23, 2023 4.05pm
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Form Guide
