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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 1
Como

Pulisic (53'), Reijnders (75')
Bondo (10'), Musah (48'), Jimenez (79'), Jimenez (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Da Cunha (33')
Perrone (68'), Espeto (79'), Perrone (82'), Paz (90')
Alli (90+1'), Alli (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, March 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-1 Venezia
Saturday, March 8 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Como

Although Como have proven to be tricky opponents on home turf, they have recorded just one win from their last 10 away fixtures. Under the bright lights of San Siro, it remains to be seen whether the Lariani can produce their very best, so Milan may lean on their greater experience to pick up maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw has a probability of 21% and a win for Como has a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Como win it is 1-2 (5%).

Result
AC MilanDrawComo
60.73% (-0.555 -0.56) 20.97% (0.213 0.21) 18.3% (0.343 0.34)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68% (-0.402 -0.4)41.32% (0.403 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.28% (-0.409 -0.41)63.72% (0.41 0.41)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.83% (-0.288 -0.29)13.17% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.13% (-0.59 -0.59)39.87% (0.591 0.59)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85% (0.145 0.15)36.15% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07% (0.145 0.15)72.93% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 60.73%
    Como 18.3%
    Draw 20.97%
AC MilanDrawComo
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.61% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 60.73%
1-1 @ 9.82% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.97%
1-2 @ 5% (0.075 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.84% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.46% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 18.3%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Como

AC Milan
Draw
Como
AC Milan
91.6%
Draw
8.4%
Como
0.0%
95
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2025 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Como
1-2
AC Milan
Diao (60')
Kempf (65')
Hernandez (71'), Leao (76')
Morata (20'), Bennacer (33'), Thiaw (43'), Jimenez (53'), Musah (56'), Leao (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7AC Milan29138844331147
8Roma28137843301346
9Fiorentina28136943301345
10Udinese29117113539-440
11Torino2991193434038
12Genoa29811102837-935
13Como2978143546-1129
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2992182958-2929
15CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
16Parma29510143549-1425
17Lecce2967162148-2725
18Empoli29410152346-2322
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2929182449-2515


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