MX23RW : Saturday, March 15 23:26:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Dortmund logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Dortmund

Simons (17'), Openda (48')
Raum (63'), Haidara (86'), Lukeba (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Can (10'), Ryerson (45+1'), Chukwuemeka (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, March 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: RB Leipzig 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund have been excellent on the road, and they should be confident of finding the back of the net on Saturday. However, Leipzig's record at home is also strong, and it would not be surprising if the two sides played out an entertaining stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 36.05% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win is 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.31%).

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
36.05% (-0.323 -0.32) 23.28% (0.167 0.17) 40.66% (0.158 0.16)
Both teams to score 64.07% (-0.697 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.57% (-0.887 -0.89)37.43% (0.889 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.35% (-0.96 -0.96)59.65% (0.963 0.96)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97% (-0.56 -0.56)21.03% (0.563 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.18% (-0.881 -0.88)53.82% (0.884 0.88)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.303 -0.3)18.87% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67% (-0.508 -0.51)50.33% (0.51 0.51)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 36.05%
    Borussia Dortmund 40.66%
    Draw 23.27%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.19% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 4.82% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.05%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.169 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.219 0.22)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.13 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.73% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 40.66%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Dortmund

RB Leipzig
Draw
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
55.7%
Draw
24.6%
Borussia Dortmund
19.7%
61
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Dortmund
2-1
RB Leipzig
Beier (30'), Guirassy (65')
Beier (21'), Bensebaini (34'), Azhil (90+7')
Sesko (27')
Baumgartner (8'), Henrichs (35'), Geertruida (40'), Kampl (81')
Apr 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
RB Leipzig
4-1
Dortmund
Openda (23'), Sesko (45+2'), Simakan (46'), Baumgartner (80')
Simakan (37')
Sancho (20')
Sancho (37'), Schlotterbeck (76')
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Dortmund
2-3
RB Leipzig
Sule (45+6'), Fullkrug (90+3')
Ozcan (60')
Hummels (15')
Bensebaini (32' og.), Baumgartner (54'), Poulsen (90+1')
Simakan (35'), Simons (61'), Openda (66')
Apr 5, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
RB Leipzig
2-0
Dortmund
Werner (22'), Orban (90+8')
Mar 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
2-1
RB Leipzig
Reus (21' pen.), Can (39')
Forsberg (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2510784439537
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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