DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 26, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig1 - 0Wolfsburg
We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Wolfsburg
Despite both sides' inconsistent form of late, Leipzig seem the more driven, fuelled by a desire for revenge, while their success in the DFB-Pokal in recent years and strong home record against Wolfsburg in the competition could also work in their favour on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Wolfsburg |
53.61% ( -0.34) | 22.14% ( 0.06) | 24.25% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 60.53% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.18% ( 0.03) | 38.82% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.87% ( 0.04) | 61.13% ( -0.04) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.46% ( -0.1) | 14.54% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.42% ( -0.19) | 42.57% ( 0.19) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.25) | 29.16% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.89% ( 0.31) | 65.1% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig 53.61%
Wolfsburg 24.25%
Draw 22.13%
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.27% Total : 24.25% |
How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
82.4%Draw
13.5%Wolfsburg
4.1%74
Form Guide
