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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Wolfsburg

Bayern
vs.
Wolfsburg

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 5-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We say: Bayern Munich 2-2 Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg will surrender possession and look to make the most of counter-attacks, and they could have some success considering the hosts will be without Palhinha in midfield. However, it is difficult to see how the Wolves can keep Bayern at bay, and the Bavarians are likely to have numerous opportunities in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.17%. A draw has a probability of 11.5% and a win for Wolfsburg has a probability of 6.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 3-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.41%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.26%), while for a Wolfsburg win it is 1-2 (2%).

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
82.17% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14) 11.46% (-0.042 -0.04) 6.37% (0.185 0.19)
Both teams to score 50.68% (1.545 1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.72% (1.183 1.18)27.28% (-1.183 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.16% (1.476 1.48)47.84% (-1.476 -1.48)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.09% (0.199 0.2)4.91% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.3% (0.589 0.59)19.7% (-0.589 -0.59)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.29% (1.518 1.52)46.71% (-1.517 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.73% (1.132 1.13)82.26% (-1.132 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 82.17%
    Wolfsburg 6.37%
    Draw 11.46%
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
3-0 @ 10.46% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-0 @ 10.41% (-0.48 -0.48)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.89% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-0 @ 6.91% (-0.413 -0.41)
4-1 @ 6% (0.143 0.14)
5-0 @ 4.76% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 3.62% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.159 0.16)
6-0 @ 2.39% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.29% (0.148 0.15)
6-1 @ 1.82% (0.089 0.09)
5-2 @ 1.38% (0.106 0.11)
7-0 @ 1.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 82.17%
1-1 @ 5.26% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.02% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 2.29% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 11.46%
1-2 @ 2% (0.055 0.05)
0-1 @ 1.74% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 6.37%

Who will win Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern and Wolfsburg?

Bayern Munich
Draw
Wolfsburg
Bayern Munich
87.0%
Draw
8.7%
Wolfsburg
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Majer (47' pen., 55')
Svanberg (71'), Zesiger (82')
Musiala (20'), Kaminski (65' og.), Gnabry (82')
Kane (31'), Boey (46'), Musiala (70')
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Zvonarek (4'), Goretzka (13')

Majer (53'), Lacroix (90+3')
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
1-2
Bayern
Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern17133153134042
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen17115141231838
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4RB Leipzig179352924530
5Stuttgart178543226629
6Mainz 05Mainz178453021928
7Wolfsburg178363829927
8Freiburg178362530-527
9Werder Bremen177553132-126
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach177372626024
12Augsburg175481933-1419
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin174581423-917
14St Pauli1742111221-914
15Heidenheim1742112336-1314
16Hoffenheim173592034-1414
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1723121437-239


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