MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 20:13:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 25, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Bayern logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Bayern

Majer (47' pen., 55')
Svanberg (71'), Zesiger (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Musiala (20'), Kaminski (65' og.), Gnabry (82')
Kane (31'), Boey (46'), Musiala (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Koblenz 0-1 Wolfsburg
Monday, August 19 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 4-0 Grasshopper
Tuesday, August 20 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Wolfsburg 0-5 Bayern Munich

Although it is too early to make any conclusions about Kompany as manager, it would not be surprising if his side comfortably won on Sunday given how much additions such as Palhinha and Olise add to the side. Additionally, if Wolfsburg perform similarly to last season, then they could struggle on the weekend and throughout 2024-25. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-3 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
18.75% (-1.495 -1.5) 19.17% (-0.509 -0.51) 62.07% (2.005 2.01)
Both teams to score 62.98% (-0.834 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.07% (0.104 0.1)31.93% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.52% (0.123 0.12)53.48% (-0.122 -0.12)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (-1.344 -1.34)30.04% (1.344 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (-1.645 -1.65)66.17% (1.645 1.65)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03% (0.527 0.53)9.97% (-0.527 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.04% (1.198 1.2)32.96% (-1.198 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 18.75%
    Bayern Munich 62.07%
    Draw 19.17%
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.297 -0.3)
1-0 @ 3.6% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-0 @ 2.17% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2% (-0.199 -0.2)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 18.75%
1-1 @ 8.3% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.17%
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.308 0.31)
1-3 @ 7.36% (0.179 0.18)
0-1 @ 6.91% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 6.12% (0.368 0.37)
2-3 @ 4.42% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-4 @ 4.24% (0.195 0.19)
0-4 @ 3.53% (0.286 0.29)
2-4 @ 2.55% (0.025 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.96% (0.132 0.13)
0-5 @ 1.63% (0.165 0.17)
2-5 @ 1.18% (0.037 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 62.07%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Bayern

Wolfsburg
11.5%
Draw
10.2%
Bayern Munich
78.3%
157
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Zvonarek (4'), Goretzka (13')

Majer (53'), Lacroix (90+3')
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
1-2
Bayern
Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Packers
29-34
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Heidenheim22006066
2Bayern MunichBayern22005236
3RB Leipzig22004226
4Borussia DortmundDortmund21102024
5Union BerlinUnion Berlin21102114
6Wolfsburg21014313
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach21014313
8Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen21015503
9Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt21013303
10Freiburg21013303
11Hoffenheim210145-13
12Mainz 05Mainz20204402
13Werder Bremen20202202
14Stuttgart201146-21
15Augsburg201126-41
16Holstein Kiel200225-30
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum200203-30
18St Pauli200203-30


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!