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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Bayern logo

Stuttgart
3 - 1
Bayern

Stergiou (29'), Woo-yeong (83'), Wamangituka (90+3')
Anton (24')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kane (37' pen.)
Dier (20'), Pavlovic (78'), Tuchel (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 30 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Stuttgart 2-2 Bayern Munich

 Goals are to be expected on Saturday, as not only do these two teams boast the top two scorers in the division, Kane (35) and Guirassy (25), but they are also the two sides with the highest expected goals (xG) and have created the most big chances in the division - Bayern with 142 chances compared with Stuttgart's 119. Both teams have little riding on this fixture, but Stuttgart still have some work to do to guarantee a third-placed finish, so with that in mind, we believe that the hosts will earn a hard-fought point from an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.81%) and 3-2 (5.04%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawBayern Munich
46.89% (0.127 0.13) 20.83% (-0.313 -0.31) 32.29% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 72.37% (1.342 1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.82% (1.679 1.68)26.18% (-1.68 -1.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.55% (2.123 2.12)46.45% (-2.124 -2.12)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86% (0.66600000000001 0.67)12.14% (-0.667 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.26% (1.385 1.39)37.74% (-1.387 -1.39)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.90900000000001 0.91)17.63% (-0.91 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (1.555 1.56)48.23% (-1.555 -1.56)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 46.89%
    Bayern Munich 32.29%
    Draw 20.83%
StuttgartDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 5.04% (0.158 0.16)
2-0 @ 4.76% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-0 @ 4.51% (-0.366 -0.37)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.085 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.66% (0.149 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1.54% (0.128 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.068 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 46.89%
1-1 @ 7.83% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 7.17% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.91% (0.174 0.17)
0-0 @ 2.14% (-0.234 -0.23)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-3 @ 4.15% (0.146 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.04 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.72% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.8% (0.114 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.066 0.07)
3-4 @ 1.26% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 32.29%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Bayern

Stuttgart
31.7%
Draw
23.8%
Bayern Munich
44.6%
101
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 15
Bayern
3-0
Stuttgart
Kane (2', 55'), Min-jae (63')

Mittelstadt (31'), Karazor (69'), Leweling (82')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Stuttgart
1-2
Bayern
Jose Perea (88')
De Ligt (39'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (62')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Bayern
2-2
Stuttgart
Tel (36'), Musiala (60')
Fuhrich (57'), Guirassy (90+2' pen.)
> Preview
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
2-2
Stuttgart
Gnabry (35'), Muller (44')
Kouassi (6'), Davies (90+1')
Coman (90+5')
Tomas (8'), Kalajdzic (52')
Karazor (39'), Fuhrich (50'), Coulibaly (74')
> Preview
Dec 14, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Stuttgart
0-5
Bayern

Karazor (64')
Gnabry (40', 53', 74'), Lewandowski (69', 72')
Davies (55')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310
> Bundesliga Full Table


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