MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 04:14:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
SV Darmstadt
Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
Bayern logo

Darmstadt
2 - 5
Bayern

Skarke (28'), Vilhelmsson (90+5')
Franjic (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Musiala (36', 64'), Kane (45+1'), Gnabry (74'), Tel (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 8-1 Mainz
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 0-4 Bayern Munich

Neither side can afford to drop points if they wish to boost their hopes of achieving their respective targets this season, but it will come as no surprise to many that Bayern enter Saturday's contest as firm favourites to come out on top. The Bundesliga's strongest attack, Bayern with 73 goals scored, should have few problems breaching the division's leakiest backline, Darmstadt with 60 goals conceded, en route to comfortably claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.92%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 8.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 2-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98DrawBayern Munich
8.87% (0.052 0.05) 13.2% (0.011999999999999 0.01) 77.92% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.95% (0.191 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.73% (0.116 0.12)26.27% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.45% (0.148 0.15)46.55% (-0.149 -0.15)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.21% (0.194 0.19)39.79% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (0.179 0.18)76.46% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.59% (0.012 0.01)5.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.82% (0.037999999999997 0.04)21.18% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    SV Darmstadt 98 8.87%
    Bayern Munich 77.92%
    Draw 13.2%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.67% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.19% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 8.87%
1-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.89% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 13.2%
0-2 @ 9.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 8.9% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 8.21% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-4 @ 6.49% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.28% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-4 @ 5.99% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 3.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.78% (0.022 0.02)
1-5 @ 3.49% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.76% (0.018 0.02)
0-6 @ 1.84% (-0.004 -0)
1-6 @ 1.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-5 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 5.49%
Total : 77.92%

How you voted: Darmstadt vs Bayern

SV Darmstadt 98
12.5%
Draw
6.9%
Bayern Munich
80.6%
72
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Bayern
8-0
Darmstadt
Kane (51', 69', 88'), Sane (56', 64'), Musiala (60', 76'), Muller (71')
Tuchel (7'), de Ligt (38')
Kimmich (4')

Bader (49'), Nurnberger (69')
Gjasula (21'), Maglica (41')
May 6, 2017 2.30pm
Dec 18, 2016 2.30pm
Feb 20, 2016 2.30pm
Bayern
3-1
Darmstadt
Muller (49', 71'), Lewandowski (84')
Rafinha (13'), Kimmich (50')
Wagner (26')
Dec 15, 2015 7.30pm
Third Round
Bayern
1-0
Darmstadt
Alonso (40')
Rafinha (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!