Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for York City had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
38.46% ( -1.58) | 25.4% ( 0.26) | 36.13% ( 1.33) |
Both teams to score 56.26% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.44% ( -1.01) | 47.56% ( 1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% ( -0.94) | 69.77% ( 0.94) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.65% ( -1.27) | 24.35% ( 1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.25% ( -1.83) | 58.75% ( 1.83) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.38% ( 0.29) | 25.62% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.48% ( 0.39) | 60.52% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.46% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.47% Total : 36.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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