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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 35.88% and a draw has a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.82%).
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Sunderland |
35.88% ( -1.29) | 26.99% ( 0.03) | 37.13% ( 1.27) |
Both teams to score 50.94% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.66% ( -0.11) | 54.34% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.28% ( -0.09) | 75.72% ( 0.1) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71% ( -0.83) | 29% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.1% ( -1.04) | 64.9% ( 1.04) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.74% ( 0.71) | 28.25% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.03% ( 0.89) | 63.96% ( -0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.88% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.76% Total : 37.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Portsmouth | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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