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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Sunderland

Derby
vs.
Sunderland

Coverage of the Championship clash between Derby County and Sunderland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Derby (6-5 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Next Game: Derby vs. Watford
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup
Next Game: Burnley vs. Sunderland
Friday, January 17 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 35.88% and a draw has a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.82%).

Result
Derby CountyDrawSunderland
35.88% (-1.295 -1.29) 26.99% (0.029 0.03) 37.13% (1.27 1.27)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.66% (-0.112 -0.11)54.34% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.28% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)75.72% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71% (-0.827 -0.83)29% (0.831 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.1% (-1.039 -1.04)64.9% (1.043 1.04)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (0.708 0.71)28.25% (-0.704 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (0.887 0.89)63.96% (-0.883 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 35.88%
    Sunderland 37.12%
    Draw 26.99%
Derby CountyDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.59% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.88%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.166 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.55% (0.281 0.28)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.135 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.76% (0.17 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 37.12%

Who will win Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby and Sunderland?

Derby County
Draw
Sunderland
Derby County
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Sunderland
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Sunderland
2-0
Derby
Bellingham (40'), Isidor (55')
Cirkin (25'), Mepham (59')

Harness (36'), Goudmijn (89')
Mar 30, 2018 7.45pm
Derby
1-4
Sunderland
Vydra (42')
Vydra (84'), Johnson (90')
Honeyman (10'), Fletcher (36'), McGeady (50' pen.), O'Shea (77')
Kone (59'), Love (63'), Cattermole (67'), O'Shea (72')
Aug 4, 2017 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2008 3pm
Derby
0-0
Sunderland
Miller (6'), McEveley (36'), Lewis (54'), Moore (64'), Villa (73')
Chopra (75')
Dec 1, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley27141123192253
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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