We said: Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Derby County
Seeing in the New Year in front of their passionate Hillsborough faithful, Sheffield Wednesday should be confident of putting Derby to the sword during this encounter.
The Rams have been notoriously poor on their Championship travels since returning to the division in August, and we feel that narrative will continue into 2025.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 25.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.