MX23RW : Friday, April 18 03:22:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
Dortmund logo

Frankfurt
2 - 0
Dortmund

Ekitike (18'), Hojlund (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Can (77'), Guirassy (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 4-1 Freiburg
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 4-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2 Borussia Dortmund

If Can is moved into a midfield position, Dortmund may have a better chance to defend against counter-attacks, but it is difficult to look past their recent defensive vulnerability. Additionally, considering the form of Eintracht Frankfurt in front of goal, as well as their strong record at home, the hosts should be seen as clear favourites to take all three points on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.47%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
44.53% (0.21299999999999 0.21) 21.96% (0.041 0.04) 33.51% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 68.46% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.57% (-0.297 -0.3)31.44% (0.3 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.1% (-0.353 -0.35)52.9% (0.355 0.36)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)14.91% (0.042 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.71% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)43.29% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)19.55% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (-0.435 -0.44)51.46% (0.437 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 44.53%
    Borussia Dortmund 33.51%
    Draw 21.96%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.55% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.017 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 44.53%
1-1 @ 9.05% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 7.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.92% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.76% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.83% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-4 @ 0.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Dortmund

Eintracht Frankfurt
67.3%
Draw
17.3%
Borussia Dortmund
15.3%
150
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Dortmund
2-0
Frankfurt
Bynoe-Gittens (72', 90+3')

Skhiri (86')
Mar 17, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 26
Dortmund
3-1
Frankfurt
Adeyemi (33'), Hummels (81'), Can (90+3' pen.)
Can (87')
Gotze (13')
Buta (80'), Koch (90+2')
Oct 29, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Frankfurt
3-3
Dortmund
Marmoush (8' pen., 24'), Chaibi (68')
Marmoush (41'), Buta (45+8'), Pacho (52')
Sabitzer (45+1'), Moukoko (54'), Brandt (82')
Ozcan (11'), Adeyemi (76'), Terzic (90+3')
Apr 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Dortmund
4-0
Frankfurt
Bellingham (19'), Malen (24', 66'), Hummels (41')
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Frankfurt
1-2
Dortmund
Kamada (26')
Brandt (21'), Bellingham (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern29216283295469
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen29189263342963
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt29156858421651
4RB Leipzig29139747371048
5Mainz 05Mainz29137946341246
6Freiburg29136104045-545
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach29135114643344
8Borussia DortmundDortmund29126115445942
9Werder Bremen29126114754-742
10Augsburg2911993340-742
11Stuttgart29117115246640
12Wolfsburg29108115145638
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2997132640-1434
14Hoffenheim2979133652-1630
15St Pauli2985162535-1029
16Heidenheim2964193256-2422
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2955192961-3220
18Holstein Kiel2946194070-3018


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