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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.47%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
Result | ||
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
44.53% (![]() | 21.96% (![]() | 33.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 68.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.57% (![]() | 31.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.1% (![]() | 52.9% (![]() |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.09% (![]() | 14.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.71% (![]() | 43.29% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.45% (![]() | 19.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.55% (![]() | 51.46% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.62% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.36% Total : 44.53% | 1-1 @ 9.05% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.03% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.43% ( ![]() Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 7.39% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.32% Total : 33.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 29 | 54 | 69 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 63 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 51 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 48 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 46 |
6 | Freiburg | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 44 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 42 |
10 | Augsburg | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 42 |
11 | Stuttgart | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 40 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 38 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 34 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
15 | St Pauli | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 29 |
16 | Heidenheim | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 22 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 18 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |