Leverkusen should feel confident of at least avoiding defeat given their outstanding form of late, though they may find it difficult to overcome Dortmund given their strong record at home.
Sahin's side may feel they can create chances on Friday considering the visitors have struggled to keep clean sheets in recent weeks, but it would not be surprising if the champions also created opportunities in the final third.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
2.04) 
-2.08) 
