Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
for
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 St Pauli
Considering their injuries in the forward line, Leverkusen could struggle to create many chances in the final third, and St Pauli are unlikely to lose by multiple goals. However, the hosts' record at home is phenomenal, and they are in good form, so it would be surprising if they did not emerge victorious on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 10.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | St Pauli |
74.3% ( 1.35) | 15.18% ( -0.53) | 10.53% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 55.46% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.87% ( 0.21) | 31.13% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.46% ( 0.25) | 52.54% ( -0.24) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.89% ( 0.32) | 7.11% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.09% ( 0.83) | 25.91% ( -0.82) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.7% ( -1.26) | 40.3% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.08% ( -1.17) | 76.93% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.21)5-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.11)5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.84% Total : 74.3% | 1-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.18% | 1-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.41% Total : 10.53% |
