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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
40.05% ( -0.17) | 23.51% ( -0.01) | 36.44% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 63.27% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.5% ( 0.07) | 38.5% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.21% ( 0.08) | 60.79% ( -0.08) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.41% ( -0.05) | 19.59% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.47% ( -0.08) | 51.53% ( 0.08) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% ( 0.13) | 21.32% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.73% ( 0.2) | 54.26% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 40.05% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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