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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
41.74% ( -0.22) | 22.98% ( -0.05) | 35.28% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 65.06% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.92% ( 0.33) | 36.08% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.82% ( 0.36) | 58.18% ( -0.36) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.15% ( 0.05) | 17.85% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.39% ( 0.08) | 48.6% ( -0.08) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.19% ( 0.29) | 20.8% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.53% ( 0.45) | 53.46% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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