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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | St Pauli |
27.22% ( -0.19) | 24.35% ( 0.22) | 48.43% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.91% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.72% ( -1.11) | 46.28% ( 1.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.43% ( -1.06) | 68.57% ( 1.06) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.18% ( -0.72) | 30.82% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.91% ( -0.86) | 67.09% ( 0.86) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% ( -0.45) | 19.19% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.13% ( -0.75) | 50.86% ( 0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | St Pauli |
1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 27.22% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.14% Total : 48.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |